National Retail Valuation

NNN Stock  USD 41.91  0.46  1.11%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. National Retail Prop secures a last-minute Real Value of $41.11 per share. The latest price of the firm is $41.91. Our model forecasts the value of National Retail Prop from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 12.63 B, profit margin of 0.43 %, and Return On Equity of 0.0891 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting National Retail's valuation include:
Price Book
1.7904
Enterprise Value
12.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
14.813
Price Sales
8.6861
Forward PE
19.9601
Fairly Valued
Today
41.91
Please note that National Retail's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of National Retail Prop is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing National Retail's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since National Retail is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of National Stock. However, National Retail's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  41.91 Real  41.11 Target  44.31 Hype  41.91
The intrinsic value of National Retail's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence National Retail's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
41.10
Real Value
42.10
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of National Retail Properties helps investors to forecast how National stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of National Retail more accurately as focusing exclusively on National Retail's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.490.500.50
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.9241.9142.90
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
40.3244.3149.19
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use National Retail's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of National Retail's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against National Retail's closest peers.

National Retail Cash

9.54 Million

National Retail Total Value Analysis

National Retail Properties is now estimated to have company total value of 12.63 B with market capitalization of 7.87 B, debt of 4.37 B, and cash on hands of 8.73 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the National Retail fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
12.63 B
7.87 B
4.37 B
8.73 M

National Retail Investor Information

About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.79. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. National Retail Prop last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. National Retail Properties is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to report excellent financial results in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.870.76
Fairly Up
Very volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities767.4 M730.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income697.8 M664.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

National Retail Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. National Retail has an asset utilization ratio of 9.8 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.098 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that National Retail Properties is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

National Retail Profitability Analysis

Taking into consideration National Retail's profitability measurements, National Retail Properties is yielding more profit at this time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess National Retail's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
100.5 M
Current Value
96.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
32 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, National Retail's Gross Profit is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 4th of February 2026, Pretax Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.55, while Gross Profit Margin is likely to drop 1.05.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin1.051.11
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.610.52
Fairly Up
Very volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.870.76
Fairly Up
Very volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.550.52
Notably Up
Pretty Stable
Return On Assets0.06240.0514
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Return On Equity0.09140.1
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
For National Retail profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of National Retail Prop to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well National Retail utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between National Retail's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of National Retail over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

National Retail Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of National Retail is estimated to be 0.5 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.49 to a high of 0.498625. National Retail's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 2.08. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for National Retail Properties is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
National Retail is projected to generate 0.5 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. National Retail earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected National Retail EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on National Retail's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as National Retail, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

National Retail Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of National Retail's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of National Retail is estimated to be 0.5 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.49 to a high of 0.498625. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for National Retail Properties is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.49
0.49
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.5
0.50
Highest

National Retail Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of National Retail's value are higher than the current market price of the National Retail stock. In this case, investors may conclude that National Retail is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and National Retail's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2025Current EPS (TTM)
1796.53%
0.49
0.5
2.08

National Retail Ownership Allocation

National Retail Prop maintains a total of 189.92 Million outstanding shares. The majority of National Retail outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in National Retail Properties to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in National Retail Prop. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of National Retail as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on September 15, 2025, Representative Lisa McClain of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of National Retail Prop's common stock.

National Retail Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 869.27 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 396.83 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 867.81 M.

National Retail Past Distributions to stockholders

About National Retail Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Retail Properties. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of National Retail Prop based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing National Retail's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of National Retail's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of National Retail. We calculate exposure to National Retail's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of National Retail's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit962.5 MB
Pretax Profit Margin 0.52  0.55 
Operating Profit Margin 0.76  0.87 
Net Profit Margin 0.52  0.61 
Gross Profit Margin 1.11  1.05 
National Retail's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether National Retail's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of National Retail can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of National Retail represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of National, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

National Retail Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, National Retail's Dividends Paid is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 4th of February 2026, Dividend Yield is likely to grow to 0.09, while Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to drop 0.94. . At this time, National Retail's Earnings Yield is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 4th of February 2026, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 1.68, though Retained Earnings are likely to grow to (709 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid483.3 M507.4 M
Dividend Yield 0.06  0.09 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.95  0.94 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.36  1.43 
There are various types of dividends National Retail can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of National shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from National Retail Properties directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When National pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of National Retail by the value of the dividends paid out.

National Retail Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding184 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.038
Forward Price Earnings19.9601

National Retail Current Valuation Indicators

National Retail's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final National Retail's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as National Retail, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use National Retail's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes National Retail's worth.
When determining whether National Retail Prop offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of National Retail's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of National Retail Properties Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on National Retail Properties Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National Retail Properties. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Will Retail REITs sector continue expanding? Could National diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Retail. Anticipated expansion of National directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every National Retail data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
Dividend Share
2.34
Earnings Share
2.08
Revenue Per Share
4.846
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.053
Understanding National Retail Prop requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects National's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what National Retail's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push National Retail's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between National Retail's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding National Retail should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, National Retail's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.